Guide
Should I invest or overpay my student loan?
One of the most common financial questions for UK graduates. The answer depends heavily on which loan plan you have, your salary, and whether your loan is on course to be written off.
Not financial advice
This page explains the concepts and the maths behind the calculator. It is not personalised financial advice. Your circumstances will differ — consider speaking with a qualified financial adviser before making significant financial decisions.
The key question: will your loan be written off?
UK student loans are not like ordinary debt. If you haven't repaid in full by the end of your loan term (25–40 years depending on your plan), the remaining balance is written off by the government — and you owe nothing further.
This completely changes the overpayment calculation. If your loan is on track to be written off, every pound you overpay only reduces the written-off balance — it doesn't reduce what you actually pay over your lifetime. In that case, overpaying is effectively throwing money away.
If your loan will be written off: don't overpay.
Use the StudentLoanCurve calculator to see whether your loan is on course to be fully repaid or written off. Only overpay if the calculator shows your loan will be paid off in full before the write-off year.
If your loan will be paid off in full
In this case, overpaying does reduce your total repayments. The question becomes whether the interest you save on your loan is greater or less than the return you'd earn by investing the same money.
For Plan 2 borrowers on higher incomes, loan interest can be RPI + 3%. At recent inflation levels (RPI ~3–4%), that's an effective rate of 6–7%. This is high — it's harder for investment returns to beat it on a risk-adjusted basis.
For Plan 1 and Plan 4 borrowers, interest is capped at min(RPI, Bank Rate + 1%) — typically 3–4.5%. Lower rates shift the balance more towards investing.
What is index fund investing?
An index fund is a type of investment that tracks a broad market index — like the MSCI World (global equities) or the FTSE All-Share (UK stocks). Instead of picking individual companies, you own a tiny slice of hundreds or thousands of companies at once.
Index funds have historically outperformed most actively managed funds over the long run, largely because they have lower fees and because most fund managers can't consistently beat the market. They are the bedrock of passive investing.
Historic long-run real returns (after inflation)
| Asset | Approx. real return / yr | Source / period |
|---|---|---|
| Global equities (MSCI World) | ~6–7% | Dimson/Marsh/Staunton, 1900–2023 |
| UK equities (FTSE All-Share) | ~5% | DMS Global Returns Yearbook |
| UK government bonds (gilts) | ~1% | BoE data, 1900–2023 |
| Cash / savings accounts | ~0–0.5% | After inflation, varies |
These are real returns — after stripping out inflation. They smooth over individual years that can vary wildly (global equities have historically ranged from −40% to +50% in a single year). The long-run average only applies if you stay invested for 15–20+ years and don't panic-sell in downturns.
The risk profiles in the calculator
The calculator uses three simplified risk profiles:
Low risk
~2% real/yr25% global equities, 75% bonds
Smoothest ride; lower long-run return. Suitable if you may need the money within 5 years.
Medium risk
~4% real/yr60% global equities, 40% bonds
Common "balanced" portfolio. Moderate volatility with meaningful long-term growth.
High risk
~6.5% real/yr100% global equities
All-equity portfolio. Highest long-run return but big year-to-year swings. Suitable for 15+ year horizons.
Things the model doesn't capture
- –Tax efficiency: ISA wrapper eliminates capital gains and dividend tax, significantly boosting net returns.
- –Sequence of returns risk: getting big losses early in your investment horizon hurts much more than the same loss later.
- –Employer pension matching: if your employer matches pension contributions, that's an immediate 25–100% return — always prioritise this first.
- –Emergency fund: investing before having 3–6 months of expenses in cash is risky.
- –Salary changes: your income (and therefore loan repayments) will change over your career.
A simple decision framework
Is your loan on track to be written off?
Don’t overpay. The written-off balance isn’t your problem.
Do you have high-interest debt (credit cards, personal loans)?
Pay that off first. Student loan interest is much lower.
Does your employer match pension contributions?
Maximise pension matching before anything else.
Do you have an emergency fund?
Build 3–6 months of expenses in cash first.
Is your Plan 2 interest rate above ~5%?
Overpaying may beat medium-risk investing on a risk-adjusted basis.
Is your interest rate below ~4%?
A medium or high-risk investment portfolio probably outperforms over 15+ years.
Sources and methodology
Historic return data from Dimson, Marsh & Staunton (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook), MSCI World index (1969–present), and Bank of England gilt data. All returns shown are real (after CPI inflation), gross of tax, before platform/fund fees. Fees of 0.1–0.3%/yr are typical for passive index funds via ISA.
The invest vs repay tool is available to premium members.