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Guide

Should I invest or overpay my student loan?

Written by Zubair Arshed FIA, Chartered Actuary

Fellow of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries

Actuarial Post Life and Health Actuary of the Year 2024

Whether to invest or overpay your student loan is one of the most common financial questions for UK graduates. The answer depends heavily on which loan plan you have, your salary, and whether your loan is on course to be written off.

Not financial advice

This page explains the concepts and the maths behind the calculator. It is not personalised financial advice. Your circumstances will differ, so consider speaking with a qualified financial adviser before making significant financial decisions.

The key question: will your loan be written off?

UK student loans are not like ordinary debt. If you haven't repaid in full by the end of your loan term (25–40 years depending on your plan), the remaining balance is written off by the government and you owe nothing further.

This completely changes the overpayment calculation. If your loan is on track to be written off, every pound you overpay only reduces the written-off balance; it doesn't reduce what you actually pay over your lifetime. In that case, overpaying is effectively throwing money away. Our guide on whether to overpay your student loan works through this decision in detail.

If your loan will be written off: don't overpay.

Use the StudentLoanCurve calculator to see whether your loan is on course to be fully repaid or written off. Only overpay if the calculator shows your loan will be paid off in full before the write-off year.

If your loan will be paid off in full

In this case, overpaying does reduce your total repayments. The question becomes whether the interest you save on your loan is greater or less than the return you'd earn by investing the same money.

For Plan 2 borrowers on higher incomes, loan interest can be RPI + 3%. At recent inflation levels (RPI ~3–4%), that's an effective rate of 6–7%. This is high, and it's harder for investment returns to beat it on a risk-adjusted basis. Our guide to how student loan interest works explains exactly which rate applies to you.

For Plan 1 and Plan 4 borrowers, interest is capped at min(RPI, Bank Rate + 1%), typically 3–4.5%. Lower rates shift the balance more towards investing.

What is index fund investing?

An index fund is a type of investment that tracks a broad market index, such as the MSCI World (global equities) or the FTSE All-Share (UK stocks). Instead of picking individual companies, you own a tiny slice of hundreds or thousands of companies at once.

Index funds have historically outperformed most actively managed funds over the long run, largely because they have lower fees and because most fund managers can't consistently beat the market. They are the bedrock of passive investing.

Historic long-run real returns (after inflation)

AssetApprox. real return / yrSource / period
Global equities (MSCI World)~6–7%Dimson/Marsh/Staunton, 1900–2023
UK equities (FTSE All-Share)~5%DMS Global Returns Yearbook
UK government bonds (gilts)~1%BoE data, 1900–2023
Cash / savings accounts~0–0.5%After inflation, varies

These are real returns, after stripping out inflation. They smooth over individual years that can vary wildly (global equities have historically ranged from −40% to +50% in a single year). The long-run average only applies if you stay invested for 15–20+ years and don't panic-sell in downturns.

The risk profiles in the calculator

The calculator uses three simplified risk profiles:

Low risk

~2% real/yr

25% global equities, 75% bonds

Smoothest ride; lower long-run return. Suitable if you may need the money within 5 years.

Medium risk

~4% real/yr

60% global equities, 40% bonds

Common "balanced" portfolio. Moderate volatility with meaningful long-term growth.

High risk

~6.5% real/yr

100% global equities

All-equity portfolio. Highest long-run return but big year-to-year swings. Suitable for 15+ year horizons.

Things the model doesn't capture

A simple decision framework

Is your loan on track to be written off?

Don’t overpay. The written-off balance isn’t your problem.

Do you have high-interest debt (credit cards, personal loans)?

Pay that off first. Student loan interest is much lower.

Does your employer match pension contributions?

Maximise pension matching before anything else.

Do you have an emergency fund?

Build 3–6 months of expenses in cash first.

Is your Plan 2 interest rate above ~5%?

Overpaying may beat medium-risk investing on a risk-adjusted basis.

Is your interest rate below ~4%?

A medium or high-risk investment portfolio probably outperforms over 15+ years.

Sources and methodology

Historic return data from Dimson, Marsh & Staunton (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook), MSCI World index (1969–present), and Bank of England gilt data. All returns shown are real (after CPI inflation), gross of tax, before platform/fund fees. Fees of 0.1–0.3%/yr are typical for passive index funds via ISA.

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The invest vs repay tool is available to premium members.